October, November, December (OND) Rainfall Forecast:

• Normal to above-normal rainfall is likely in Northwestern, Western, Southern, Lusaka, Central, and Copperbelt provinces, as well as the southern districts of Eastern, Muchinga, Northern, and Luapula provinces.
• Normal to below-normal rainfall is likely in Chama, Mafinga, Isoka, Nakonde, Chinsali, Mungwi, Senga Hill, Mbala, Mpulungu, Nsama, Kaputa, Chiengi, Nchelenge, and Mporokoso districts

The current neutral phase of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is expected to transition to a weak La Niña phase during the 2024/2025 rainfall season. This weak La Niña phenomenon, characterized by below-normal sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the tropical eastern Pacific Ocean, will influence Zambia’s rainfall patterns. Typically, this condition results in normal rainfall over Zambia.